Secondary School Dropouts

Secondary School Dropout

Secondary school dropout remains a critical challenge, impacting long-term educational attainment, workforce readiness, and socio-economic development. To address this issue proactively, this use case leverages data-driven modeling techniques to identify patterns, risk factors, and vulnerable student segments associated with dropout at the secondary education level.

Modeling Approaches Used

1. Sensitivity Modeling 

The Sensitivity Modeling dashboard is designed as a tool to analyze and reduce school dropout rates across India by identifying high-impact factors at the state and district levels. It enables us to explore dropout trends, understand how different factors influence the dropout rate, and perform what-if scenario analysis for data-driven decision making.

2. Prescriptive Modeling 

Prescriptive modeling answers one key question: “What changes are needed to reach a target dropout rate?” The model recommended changes for each factor are called prescribed values. Prescriptive modeling considers all factors together and finds a combination that best supports achieving the target.

We have employed both modeling approaches and developed a sequence of dashboards tailored for two distinct user groups: district-level and state-level officials.

For access to the detailed user manual, click here.

1(a). District View (District Profile)

Under the District View, users can drill down from the All India Dashboard to a district-wise dropout map and access detailed district profile, results in a District Prescription module. This section supports both what-if analysis and what-to-do analysis, enabling users to simulate changes across key factors and assess their relative impact on reducing secondary school dropout rates. The what-if analysis helps identify which factors contribute most significantly to lowering dropout rates within a district, while the what-to-do analysis translates these insights into actionable, data-driven recommendations to guide targeted interventions and policy decisions.

1(b). District Prescriptive

2(a). State View (Factor Profile)

Under the State View, users navigate from the All India Dashboard to a district-wise dropout map, followed by a Factor Profile that enables what-if analysis to assess which factors contribute most significantly to reducing dropout rates across districts within a state. This is complemented by the Intervention Index, which supports what-to-do analysis by quantifying how much each factor needs to change to achieve a targeted reduction in secondary school dropout at the state level. These insights feed into the State Prescription and State Budget modules, helping policymakers prioritize interventions, allocate resources efficiently, and design evidence-based strategies tailored to state-specific needs.

2(b). All India Intervention Index, State Prescriptive and State Budget

The Intervention Index shows how much support or action a state needs, based on the model’s suggestions. Darker colors mean the state needs more intervention, while lighter colors mean less intervention is required. This makes it easy to quickly spot which states need the most attention.